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(2002) Modeling of Productivity of Grassland in Northern China and its Application for Impact Assessment of Climate Change

Authors
Xin X. , Otsubo K. , Wang Q.
Source
Agrometeorogy Institute / Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences (1)
Type
P - Paper (2851)
Peer Review
2 - Medium (2288)
Audience
S - Specialist (3514)
Pages
11
Notes

Abstract: Biomass accumulation is related to various climate factors, especially heat and water. In this study,
we have attempted to improve a statistic model evaluating aboveground net production (ANP) of different types
of grassland in China. The ground truth data taken in 1995 were used for comparison of our improved model
with a prototype one developed by former researchers. We found that the improved model obviously reduced
systematic errors which were seen in the prototype model. Using our improved model, we evaluated the
geographical distribution of grassland ANP in northern China. Then, we attempted to evaluate the impact of
climate change on grassland ANP for given scenarios, the output of GCMs, such as HadCM2 and ECHAM4, by
using the improved model. The result indicated that ANP might increase in both 2030 and 2056 for most types
of temperate grassland for the given climate scenarios. The change rates of productivity of eleven grasslands
might increase by 1.22% up to 10.24% in 2030, and 1.61% up to 15.8% in 2056, depending on their types.

World_link Resources online

Folder Categories
Grasslands Data Availability Biological Systems Modelling Methodology and Scenarios
 
Tag_blue Keywords
grassland ANP northern China grassland productivity
 
Map Countries
China
 
Map Regions
Asia
 

Entered by: Ayako Uozumi, 9/2009

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